Sandbox Weekly Inspiration Weekly inspiration #40: Be an optimist

Weekly inspiration #40: Be an optimist

July 12th, 2010 by Nico Luchsinger

Over the weekend, I read a long interview [German only] with author Matt Ridley, who just published his book «The Rational Optimist». In it, Ridley argues that humanity’s progress not only has been remarkable over the last 45’000 years or so, but that the chances that we will continue on that path are very good – and that humanity will therefore be able to solve all the looming problems that lie ahead, from climate change to overpopulation and energy shortages.

I haven’t had a chance to read the book yet, but it has been widely reviewed. Most reviewers try to poke holes into Ridleys overly optimistic view. And there certainly is a lot to critize: Ridley’s argument that the driving force of all human progress is trade, and that periods of slow innovation where caused by governmental overregulation is simplistic at best (especially considering that Matt Ridley was chairman of British bank Northern Rock which went bankrupt in 2008). Ridley also excludes much of the 20th century and its devastating war from his happy history of human progress.

But if Ridley is right or wrong on certain issues is not even the point. I found reading about his book very refreshing, if only because it provides a counterargument to all the doomsayers that seem to be everywhere since the financial crisis started. Of course, we also need the pessimists: They point out the problems we may than try to solve. But it does seem to me that, especially at the moment, we could use some more optimists. We need innovation to tackle challenges – and innovation, I believe, needs optimism.

It might be naive to suggest, as David Eagleman does, that the internet will literally be the solution to most of humanity’s problems. And I’m not sure if Jamais Cascio is right when he proclaims that the humanity (thanks to internet, and drugs) is constantly getting smarter. But each of these statements contains at least some truth – and that’s enough to feel optimistic about the outlook we have.

What makes you feel optimistic? Or do you feel that optimism is misguided?

Nico is one Sandbox’ co-founders. He feels it’s easy to be optimistic when the summer is as beautiful as it currently is in Zurich.

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The world is big and complex, making it all too easy to point to negative developments as a seeming answer to optimistic analysis. However, there is no denying that humankind has achieved fantastic progress in the last couple of centuries across a broad front -- and, in fact, there are powerful reasons why that happened, and can be expected to continue operating. (A more thorough analysis of these points can be found in my own 2009 book, The Case for Rational Optimism. See http://www.fsrcoin.com/k.htm)

I loved reading your post and learning about this book as I believe I am one of very few optimists in my circle of family & friends. Most are realists and cynics. To be honest - I absolutely love feeling optimistic! Especially in times of doom & gloom. One of my guiding ideologies is "if you shoot for the moon and miss you land amongst the stars". Most people don't even notice the moon let alone shoot for it.

Sure there are a lot of problems in the world today and it's not about turning a blind eye to them. The exciting opportunity is for us to solve those problems and it's truly an amazing journey to identify a problem you feel confident you can address - and then doing something about it.